Neuroscience of Consciousness
◐ Oxford University Press (OUP)
Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Neuroscience of Consciousness's content profile, based on 16 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Wang, X.; Pomorin, Y.; Peters, E.; Erlacher, D.; Koenig, T.
Show abstract
During wakefulness, we are used to perceive the environment through our senses, act on it and take these inputs to update our experiences and build the perceptions. When the inputs are not longer accurate or structured, people would sometimes have hallucinatory experiences. Whether such experiences are associated with distinct patterns of thought, and how they relate to large scale brain dynamics, remains unclear. To address these questions, we combined experience sampling protocol with EEG recording during multimodal Ganzfeld, where participants were exposed to unstructured, uniform visual and auditory stimulation. Participants repeatedly reported the complexity of their visual experiences together with ongoing thoughts related to perceptual belief, prediction perception mismatch, active updating, and prior mentation. EEG microstates were extracted to characterize the temporal dynamics of large-scale brain networks. We found that visual complexity was related to all four dimensions, but partly distinct in simple and complex visual experiences. These phenomenological changes were accompanied by distinct, and often nonlinear, dynamics of large-scale brain networks involved in visual processing, salience detection, and internally directed cognition. It also indicates that this paradigm might be a valuable model for investigating the mechanisms underlying hallucinatory experiences in psychosis.
Walsh, C. M.; Lovoi, P. A.; Yack, L.; Chen, J.; Pandher, N.; Lee, E. D.; Li, E.; Randazzo, D.; Woodward, S. H.; Neylan, T. C.; Smith, W. S.
Show abstract
We identified Sleep Bursts (SBs), as a novel phenomenon of brief (1-2 sec), often periodic bursts in cranial forces occurring during human sleep. Our goal was to characterize SBs in normal subjects, then compare SB in a cohort of subjects with neurodegenerative disease (NDD). We recorded 32 cognitively healthy subjects (23 -87 years) and 13 subjects with NDD (51 - 84 years). SBs occurred in all 45 subjects. SBs occurred at 0.57 SB/min (once per 105 seconds) in controls and 0.40 SB/min (once per 150 seconds) in NDD (p = 0.0043). SB occurred with equal rates across all sleep stages in both groups. When occurring periodically, SBs had modal intervals (3.75 bursts/min (0.0625 Hz) - 2.67 bursts/min (0.044 Hz)). EEG power increased in the delta range 1-2 seconds before and following the SB. EEG delta power during a SB was significantly lower in all NDD subjects across sleep stages compared to controls. The relatively low frequency of SB events and synchronization with EEG power has no parallel in human sleep; we hypothesize that SBs may represent a brain-generated pulsatile component of brain glymphatic drainage.
Pandey, P.; Pethe, S. R.; Indrajeet, I.; Ray, S.
Show abstract
Introduction: Decision making for selecting an object or a course of action from possible alternatives largely depends on our perceptual ability modulated by attention. When multiple stimuli appear close together in time, processing one stimulus can temporarily impair the processing of another due to temporal limitations of attention. Observers frequently fail to detect the second target (T2) presented within a few hundred milliseconds after the first target (T1) in a stream of stimuli, which is commonly known as attentional blink (AB). Existing theories attribute this perceptual lapse to T1 processing, distractor interference, or transient attentional gating; however, the computations underlying suppressive mechanism remains unresolved. We investigated whether pupil-size could reveal the underlying mechanisms of AB and predict conscious perception on a trial-by-trial basis. Methods: Pupil diameter and gaze locations were recorded using an infrared eye tracker. Machine learning techniques were used to classify trials when T2 was detected versus when it was not, after correct identification of T1, during an AB task from the pupil dynamics, which also yielded attentional episode (AE) associated with each element in the stream of visual stimuli when deconvolved. Results: Cross-validating classifiers achieved near-perfect accuracy not only in distinguishing but also predicting perceptual outcomes on a single-trial basis. AEs exhibited greater power when T2 was detected than when it was missed; the differential power in AEs on a logarithmic scale was highly synced with the differential pupil size. Conclusions: Collectively, these findings establish a framework for predicting attention-driven perceptual outcomes from pupil-dynamics at finer time-scale.
Lustenhouwer, R.; Dijkerman, H. C.
Show abstract
Tactile imagery has attracted growing fundamental and clinical interest. Previous studies often investigated neural and functional similarities between imagined and actual touch. Several functional aspects of touch, such as differences between active and passive touch, between different haptic features during active touch or sensitivity of different body parts for passive touch, have also been explored in tactile imagery. Furthermore, considerable individual differences in the ability to engage in tactile imagery have been observed. However, several important aspects, involving different imagery components and a wide variety of touch qualities remain to be explored within a single comprehensive study. The current study therefore aims to provide a wide-ranging assessment of tactile imagery in terms of imagery processing components (vividness, maintenance, transformation), type of touch (active versus passive) and touch qualities (object properties for active touch, different tactile sensations across body sites for passive touch). We developed a comprehensive questionnaire containing 72 items to assess tactile imagery ability. 136 healthy participants were asked to imagine different touch types and rate imagery vividness and their ability to maintain and transform each sensation on 5-point Likert-scales. Active touch varied by object (plastic bottle, modeling clay, sponge) and property (temperature, weight, texture, resistance). Passive touch varied by body site (lip, shin, sole of the foot, lower back) and sensation (stroking, vibration, pinching). Overall, participants were able to perform tactile imagery: the vast majority reported at least some imagery across touch types. Individual variability was substantial: scores bridged both ends of the scale. Active tactile imagery differed significantly between objects, depending on tactile property. Object-property pairs with particularly strong imagery were bottle-temperature, bottle-weight and sponge-texture, whereas bottle-resistance elicited weaker imagery, as did temperature and weight for both sponge and clay. Passive tactile imagery was significantly stronger for body sites with higher receptor density (i.e. lip and foot). Imagery of stroking was significantly weaker than vibration and pinching. Active and passive imagery showed a strong, positive correlation, though some participants had relatively strong active imagery, but weaker passive imagery, or vice versa. Our findings confirm that tactile imagery ability varies across individuals and touch types, underlining the importance of a comprehensive imagery ability assessment tool specific to the tactile domain.
Yuan, X.; Wang, Y.; Dang, C.; Liu, H.; Yang, L.; Li, D.; Sun, L.; Song, Y.
Show abstract
Background: Attention deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) is a neurodevelopmental condition lacking mechanistically grounded interventions. Here, we tested whether transcranial photobiomodulation (tPBM) can restore neural homeostasis in ADHD patients. Methods: In a randomized, double-blind, sham-controlled crossover design, 28 young adults with ADHD completed a two-week intervention, receiving active (150 mW) and sham (0 mW) stimulation over the right prefrontal cortex for 16 minutes with concurrent electroencephalography (EEG) recording, alongside 29 healthy controls providing a normative reference. Results: Behaviorally, tPBM improved working memory K scores in the ADHD group, with performance closer to typical levels. Across sensor and source levels, tPBM progressively increased relative alpha power, steepened the aperiodic exponent, and enhanced neural complexity, as indexed by multiscale entropy, with widespread effects spanning frontoparietal and attention systems, extending to sensory and default-mode regions, collectively indicating a shift toward normative neural dynamics. Notably, these changes--consistent with rebalanced excitation/inhibition dynamics--predict behavioral improvements in working memory. Conclusions: Together, our findings identify tPBM as a candidate approach for restoring excitation/inhibition balance and normalizing large-scale neural dynamics in ADHD patients, providing a mechanistic foundation for its therapeutic potential.
Szekely, O.; Bultitude, J.; Chambers, C.; Preatoni, E.; Davies, J.; Buckingham, G.
Show abstract
Past studies using transcranial magnetic stimulation have shown larger motor-evoked potentials when people observe someone lifting a heavy object than when they observe someone lifting a light one. This means that observers may engage their own motor system in proportion to the perceived effort. However, the different responses during the observation of light and heavy objects may have been influenced by predictable trial sequences within blocked presentation, making it unclear whether corticospinal excitability reflects online processing of kinematics or is affected by top-down expectations. In this Registered Report, 57 right-handed participants passively observed videos of a precision grip and lift of heavy and light objects while receiving a single-pulse TMS to the left primary motor cortex during the lift phase of the movement. Motor-evoked potentials were recorded from the right first dorsal interosseous muscle. The study compared two main observation contexts: a predictable trial sequence in which repeated videos of the same lifts were presented in a blocked order, and an unpredictable one in which videos were presented semi-randomly and participants could rely only on kinematic cues to perceive the weight of the lifted object. In both conditions, the same videos of lifts of equivalent-looking heavy and light objects were used and only the order of presentation differed. Contrary to our predictions, in the blocked (predictable) condition, there was no significant difference in MEPs elicited by light and heavy lifts. In the unpredictable condition, participants showed greater corticospinal excitability during the observation of the light lifts compared to the heavy lifts. This suggests that in the absence of predictable information, the corticospinal system was sensitive to the observed kinematics, but contrary to previous findings, its excitability varied inversely with the object weight.
Woolley, J. F.; Meikle, S. J.; Price, N. S. C.; Wong, Y. T.
Show abstract
A new electrical stimulation focused computational model of the visual cortex had been created to aid in the development of cortical visual prosthesis. The model consists of 10,666 biophysical neurons representing 0.13mm3 of a layer 2/3 of the primary visual cortex and was calibrated to match the baseline activity of rat brain recordings. A novel model of electrical stimulation was developed to allow for selective activation of specific neuron types, and matched the single cell stimulation response generated by known stimulation models. The electrode was tuned to match recorded population level change in activity across distances and currents recorded in the rats brain. The model is now ready to explore electrical stimulation effects on the visual cortex for examination of neuron specific stimulation to assist in the development of cortical visual prosthesis.
Hickman, R.; Joyce, D. W.; Gray, N.; Shergill, S.; D'Oliveira, T. C.
Show abstract
Background: Shiftwork disrupts natural sleep-wake cycles, alters light exposure patterns, and contributes to circadian misalignment. Detrimental health consequences associated with shift work include elevated risk for metabolic disorders, cardiovascular disease, cancer and all-cause mortality. Healthcare workers have one of the highest rates of shift work exposure, yet there are relatively few non-pharmacological interventions (with good evidence) developed to improve sleep outcomes in this population. Objective: A pre-post pilot interventional study assessed the acceptability and perceived effectiveness of commercial noise-masking earbuds on improving subjective sleep characteristics among National Health Service (NHS) healthcare staff working fast rotating shifts. Methods: Noise-masking sleep earbuds (Kokoon NightBuds) were worn for a pilot six-week intervention by twenty-seven NHS nurses (aged 26-43 years, 88.9% female) working fast rotating shifts from the EClocker Study. Sensors inside the earbuds were paired with a smartphone app to monitor sleep. An audio library in the smartphone app delivered personalised relaxation exercises and sleep techniques drawn from cognitive behavioural therapy for insomnia (CBT-I). A pre-post two-week monitoring period with daily smartphone-based Experience Sampling Methods (ESM) captured perceived daily sleep patterns. Acceptability and perceived effectiveness of the earbuds in promoting better sleep outcomes was assessed. Results: Use of the noise-masking sleep earbuds over a six-week period was associated with positive sleep improvement trends and elicited promising acceptability. Almost two thirds of NHS fast rotating shift nurses (63%) subjectively reported reductions in general sleep disturbance symptoms (PSQI Global), one in four experienced perceived sleep quality improvements (SQ; 25.9%), one in five reported sleeping longer (TST; 22.2%), and a third perceived falling asleep faster (SOL; 33.3%), had better sleep efficiency (SE; 33.3%) and improved daytime dysfunction (33.3%) (PSQI subcomponent scores). Sleep diaries (CSD) collected daily using smartphone-based ESM also demonstrated small improvements post-sleep earbud use; nurses reported sleeping an average 18 minutes longer (TST) and fell asleep more easily, on average 11 minutes faster (SOL). Sleep earbuds were generally well tolerated; 56% of nurses reported the earbuds as (somewhat to very) helpful, 52% reported (somewhat to strongly) falling asleep more easily (SOL), 44% felt (somewhat to strongly) their sleep quality was improved (SQ) and 30% agreed (somewhat to strongly) they slept longer (TST) and had less disturbed sleep. Conclusions: To our knowledge, this is the first study in Europe to pilot noise-masking earbuds as a potential non-pharmacological aid to improve sleep-wake behaviours or mitigate fatigue for healthcare staff. Preliminary results showed promising acceptability and (small) perceived sleep improvement trends following a targeted six-week earbud intervention in NHS fast rotating shift nurses.
Greenwood, M.; Drube, J.; Hoffmann, C.; Li, P.
Show abstract
Living organisms must sense and adapt to physiological demands of varying intensity, requiring cells to remain responsive over time. While continuous changes in hormone concentrations communicate these demands, sustained stimulation desensitizes signaling, protecting cells from overstimulation but potentially blunting future responses. How cells preserve responsiveness remains unclear. Using epinephrine, a major mediator of stress responses, we show that natural ultradian oscillations provide a solution. Oscillatory, but not constant, hormone enabled receptor resensitization when hormone levels fell, preserving alertness to subsequent stress and tunability across intensities. Furthermore, oscillation supported coordinated responses among diverse cell types by more consistently maintaining responsiveness across hormone concentrations and receptor kinetics. Oscillations thus provide a general strategy by which endocrine systems retain protective desensitization while preserving responsiveness to future physiological demands.
Hendrickx, N.; Mentre, F.; Karlsson, M. O.; Hooker, A. C.; Traschütz, A.; Schüle, R.; PROSPAX Consortium, ; EVIDENCE-RND Consortium, ; Synofzik, M.; Comets, E.
Show abstract
We propose two new tests to detect drug effects (DE) in trials of one to very few patients followed during two periods (before and after initiation of a treatment). Both methods use longitudinal natural history data to inform the estimation of each patient's DE. The first method uses a non linear mixed effect model (NLMEM) reflecting an expected natural history with a hypothetical drug effect, to estimate the Conditional Distribution of the Drug Effect (CDDE). The second method trains a Pareto Depth Analysis (PDA) algorithm, a machine learning based approach based on outlier detection, that we implement using data simulated under the NLMEM. We evaluated the two tests with a simulation study. We used data from the PROSPAX study in Autosomal Recessive Cerebellar Ataxias (ARCAs, to derive a NLMEM for the Scale for the Assessment and Rating of Ataxia score. The CDDE method provided controlled type I error and, in some scenarios, adequate corrected power, though sensitivity analyses showed vulnerability to misspecification. The PDA method demonstrated lower statistical power except with high score precision. These results highlight different strategies for quantifying treatment effects in ultra rare, patient' specific trials. They can inform methodological design for future ARCA precision therapies.
Rohd, S. B.; Thorup, A. A.; Wilms, M.; Schiavon, M.; Streyma, D. H. B.; Laursen, A. F.; Bundgaard, A. F.; Sondergaard, A.; Krantz, M. F.; Veddum, L.; Hjorthoj, C.; Greve, A.; Mors, O.; Nordentoft, M.; Hemager, N.; Gregersen, M.
Show abstract
Objective: This study examined the prevalence of psychotic experiences (PE) and how early onset and persistence of PE contribute to risk and severity of mental disorders in adolescents at familial high-risk of schizophrenia (FHR-SZ) or bipolar disorder (FHR-BP) and adolescents from a population-based control group (PBC). Methods: This is the second follow-up of a nationwide cohort study including 522 children at FHR-SZ (N=202), FHR-BP (N=120), and PBC (N=200). Participants were assessed at ages 7, 11, and 15 using a semi-structured interview to evaluate PE and mental disorders. Results: At age 15, adolescents at FHR-SZ reported more PE than PBC over the past six months (current) and the past four years, while adolescents at FHR-BP only reported more current PE. PE reported at two or three timepoints (persistent PE) predicted any Axis I disorder in mid-adolescence, corresponding to three- (OR 2.9, 95% CI [1.5-5.7]) and 21-fold (OR 21.4, 95% CI [2.8-162.3]) increased risks, respectively. Persistent PE also predicted multimorbidity, with three- (OR 2.8, 95% CI [1.0-7.6]) and four-fold (OR 4.1, 95% CI [1.2-14.1]) increased risks, respectively. This was after adjustment for sex, early mental disorders, and familial risk. Conclusions: This study demonstrates a strong link between persistent PE and mid-adolescence mental disorders. Our findings emphasize PE as important risk markers for mental disorders during mid-adolescence and highlight the importance of monitoring children with PE before age 7 who develop persistent symptoms.
Amolo, P.; Mungai, L.; Karume, A. K.; Kibugi, J.; Mwende, W.; Botella, N.; Haldane, C.; Kamau, Y.; Marban-Castro, E.
Show abstract
Introduction Continuous Glucose Monitoring (CGM) is considered standard care in high-income countries. There is, however, limited published evidence on CGM use in low- and middle-income countries. The purpose of this study was to assess the usability, acceptability, and feasibility of CGM use among people living with type 1 diabetes (T1D) and caregivers in a low-resource setting. Research Design and Methods This prospective study conducted at the Kenyatta National Hospital purposively enrolled persons aged 4-25 years who had been on management for T1D for at least six months, and caregivers of those under 18 years. Fourty youth living with T1D used CGM for three months in place of self monitoring of blood glucose (SMBG). The System Usability Scale (SUS), a Theoretical Framework of Acceptability-based questionnaire, the Diabetes Distress Scale (DDS), the Glucose Monitoring Satisfaction Survey (GMSS), and a feasibility survey were administered. Outcomes were summarized descriptively, including means, medians, and frequencies using R statistical software. Results The median SUS score was 98.8 (IQR 92.5-100.0). Acceptability was high, and the median total GMSS score improved from 3.73 to 4.73. Among adolescents and adults, the median overall DDS score reduced from 1.54 to 1.36, with reductions in scores in all domains, except for hypoglycemia distress which increased, and physician distress which remained low. Among caregivers, the median overall DDS score declined from 2.05 (moderate distress) to 1.90 (low distress), with modest reductions in teen management and parent-teen relationship distress and a slight increase in personal distress. Median CGM active wear time was 89%. Conclusion This study comprehensively evaluated CGM across usability, acceptability, and feasibility outcomes, with the findings supporting the integration of CGM into routine diabetes management in low-resource settings. The short follow-up period, however, may not capture changing perceptions or long-term adherence.
Tindall, C.; Long, R. A.; Naughton, B.; Mapes, B. M.; Vismer, D.; Skinner, H. G.; Malenfant, J.; Maurya, M. R.; Nalls, M. A.; Ramachandran, S.; Nguyen, T.; Peters, M. A.; Scheuermann, R. H.
Show abstract
SysBio FAIRplex is a Common Fund Venture Program that catalogs and indexes data from the Accelerating Medicines Partnership(R) (AMP(R)) Program through a federated model in which data hosts retain custody of their datasets. The central piece of this work is the SysBio Common Data Model (SysBio CDM). AMP is a precompetitive public-private partnership started in 2014 that unites the resources of NIH and private partners to improve our understanding of disease pathways and transform current models for developing new treatments by: - identifying new targets, biomarkers, and development paradigms; - developing leading-edge tools and technologies; - collecting large-scale datasets and supporting analytics for open analysis by the public; and - generating consensus platforms and procedures. A multidisciplinary Task Force was chartered to design the SysBio CDM by extending the Observational Medical Outcomes Partnership (OMOP) Common Data Model into the -omics domain. The Task Force produced a Minimum Viable Product comprising nine OMOP tables; four extension tables for assay and file metadata; and a Common Data Element (CDE) Registry to specify field semantics. This manuscript describes the deliverable: the underlying design choices, the criteria applied in selecting and constructing the extension tables, how the extended model supports multimodal data integration across AMP projects, and what further work to support additional -omics modalities would entail. As an auxiliary methodology, the paper also describes the AI-assisted CDE harmonization workflow used to populate the model.
Reese, T.; Audet, C.; Ancker, J.; Wright, A.; Marcovitz, D.; Kast, K. A.; Bridges, J.; Tindle, H.; Shah, M.; von Horn, A.; Matheny, M. E.
Show abstract
Introduction: Risk of recurrent opioid use during buprenorphine-naloxone (bup-nx) treatment is dynamic and remains elevated after initiation, with vulnerability shaped in part by treatment intensity and gaps between visits, yet routine outpatient care relies on episodic encounters and retrospective data. This mismatch can delay recognition of emerging instability and limit timely treatment adjustments. This paper reports the development and specification of an intervention strategy to address this mismatch. Methods: We used a structured, multi-phase design process to specify and configure a measurement-based care (MBC) strategy for bup-nx treatment (Bup-MBC) in outpatient addiction clinics through three phases: (1) a systematic review of patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) for substance use treatment; (2) a qualitative needs assessment using the Theoretical Domains Framework and COM-B (Capability, Opportunity, Motivation-Behavior) model to identify gaps in risk monitoring, agency, and trust; and (3) iterative co-design with multidisciplinary clinicians to refine workflow fit and trust-preserving use of data. Patients informed item and feedback content during the needs assessment but did not participate in the co-design cycles. Results: Bup-MBC integrates (1) brief between-visit PROMs (e.g., withdrawal, craving, adherence); (2) immediate non-punitive patient feedback; (3) clinician-facing summaries and non-directive prompts in the electronic health record (EHR); and (4) an opt-in between-visit outreach pathway with predefined safety triggers, all configured within existing EHR and patient portal infrastructure. It targets patient and clinician capability to recognize changes in risk, opportunity for action through structured monitoring and visit preparation, and trust and agency through non-punitive communication, without adding substantial burden. The full measure set, severity bands, and question-to-action map are provided as supplementary material. Key trade-offs included prioritizing single-item measures for feasibility, balancing opt-in outreach with safety overrides, and assuming routine clinician use of summaries. Conclusion: This development study specifies an EHR-integrated MBC strategy for outpatient bup-nx treatment. As single-center design work with co-design limited to clinicians and delivery contingent on portal or text-message access, its outputs are hypotheses about mechanism and fit rather than demonstrated effects. Feasibility studies are needed to evaluate uptake, acceptability, workflow fit, and effects on treatment.
LEI, P.; XU, Y.; ZHANG, Y.
Show abstract
Background: The condition of a patient with acute stroke often changes within hours of ICU admission. Prognostic work here targets fixed endpoints predicted from admission data, and trajectory phenotyping assigns one label per patient. We used longitudinal ICU data to identify interpretable dynamic clinical states, characterize transitions between them, and relate the current state to later events. Methods: Retrospective cohort study of 6368 adults with acute stroke in MIMIC IV v3.1. The first 72 h were divided into twelve 6-hour windows, and a hidden Markov model was fitted to 21 neurological, physiological and organ support variables. State number was chosen against criteria fixed before fitting: statistical fit, restart stability, state occupancy and clinical interpretability. Generalized estimating equations related the current state to new mechanical ventilation and vasopressor use within 12 h, and to ICU death within 72 h. Eleven sensitivity analyses assessed the robustness of the state solution. Results: Four states were selected: neurologically preserved-low support, neurological impairment low support, impairment renal dysfunction and impairment-respiratory support (63.3%, 7.8%, 11.8% and 17.1% of windows). Within 72 h, 40.3% of patients changed state at least once, and transitions ran in both directions rather than along a single severity gradient. States were identified without outcome data, yet ICU mortality by last state ranged from 2.9% to 43.9%. Adjusted for age, sex, subtype and Charlson index, the current state remained associated with organ-support escalation and death. State prevalence differed by at most 1.1 percentage points between training and test sets, and 10 of 11 sensitivity analyses gave a stable four-state solution (ARI 0.754 0.955). Conclusions: The early ICU course of acute stroke can be represented as movement among a small number of clinically interpretable states. The representation was reproducible in a held out set and across admission eras, but requires validation in an independent database before any clinical use.
Ji, J.; Sun, Z.; Ying, X.; Hao, J.; Fu, Z.; Shi, D.; Kong, X.; Xu, Y.; Zhang, X.; Du, X.; Zhang, Z.; Liu, X.; Lin, P.; Wang, H.
Show abstract
Background. Routine service databases are attractive sources of training labels for clinical prediction models, but the processes that write those labels are rarely audited before the labels are used. In a deployed community cognitive-screening programme, we audited the routine cognitive-status label, built a matrix of twenty-four model arms over the same patients under a specialist reference standard, and measured what each supervision choice bought or cost. Methods. The study cohort is the 672 individuals whose cognitive status was recorded by a titled (attending-or-above) physician, that record being the reference standard; after holding out one institution entirely, a development panel of 642 individuals at 38 institutions. The routine cognitive-status label these individuals also carry was first audited at the operator level: for each data-entry account we counted diagnoses entered and the proportion recording any impairment, and tested a competing bulk-timestamp explanation. Twenty-four arms span the supervision choices such a programme faces: an incumbent 21-variable logistic regression; local language models (Qwen2.5-1.5B/3B, Qwen3-4B/8B) zero-shot, with chain-of-thought, fine-tuned on physician labels, on routine labels with and without decontamination, or on a proxy scale-band task; preference-optimised (DPO) and reinforcement-trained (GRPO) variants; a proprietary frontier model queried zero-shot; and knowledge distillation of that frontier model into the regression and into the local 4B, using 943 teacher-labelled records from the programme's unlabelled pool. All arms are scored out-of-fold under one five-fold split grouped on registry-resolved institution clusters (no cluster spans a fold); paired contrasts use a 2,000-draw cluster bootstrap. Results. 181 operator accounts (each entering at least 100 diagnoses with zero recorded impairments) account for 45,315 rows - 40.5% of the outcome column; recorded impairment falls monotonically with account volume (15.7% for 1-9 rows to 0.7% for 500-999); a bulk-timestamp explanation was tested and refuted, identifying the write-time column as a migration artefact. Under the specialist standard, no locally fine-tuned arm beat the incumbent regression (AUROC 0.926): physician-label SFT reached 0.924 (4B), DPO 0.881, and GRPO 0.789; the pre-registered two-stage proxy-then-RL recipe was worse than its single-stage contaminated baseline (-0.030, 95% CI -0.077 to -0.004). Chain-of-thought reduced discrimination at every size (-0.072, -0.080, -0.041 at 1.5B/3B/4B; -0.012, n.s., at 8B). The frontier model scored 0.932 (vs. regression +0.007, n.s.). The distilled 4B reached 0.940 - above the incumbent (+0.014, 0.004 to 0.031) and above its own teacher (+0.008, 0.001 to 0.017) - with near-teacher calibration; it reached the teacher's level by 50 teacher labels and changed little beyond 200. Conclusions. The audit and the arm matrix support one deployment recipe: audit the routine label at the operator level before training on it; do not expect fine-tuning, preference optimisation, or reinforcement learning on a few hundred specialist cases to beat a well-calibrated regression; and if a frontier model is available but undeployable, spend a bounded number of queries on it as a labelling instrument and distil. A companion paper uses these frozen predictions to quantify how evaluation design choices compare with model choice.
da Silva, K.; Sarkodie, S.; Marques, K.; Vieira, P.; Oliveira, R. D. d.; Pereira dos Santos, P. C.; Moreira Puga, M. A.; Costa, A. G.; Gregorio Machado, J. P.; Spener-Gomes, R.; Yang, E.; Savic, R.; Cordeiro-Santos, M.; Croda, J.; Andrews, J. R.
Show abstract
Background: Polymorphisms in the N-acetyltransferase 2 (NAT2) gene explain much of the interindividual variation in isoniazid (INH) metabolism and determine risk of toxicities. However, there is limited evidence to guide INH dose adjustment according to the NAT2 acetylator profile in weekly rifapentine-INH tuberculosis preventive therapy (TPT). Methods: In a prospective, multicenter, within-subject PK trial (NCT05413551), adults initiating 3HP in Brazil were assigned genotype-guided INH doses (slow: 5 mg/kg <=300 mg; intermediate: 15 mg/kg <=900 mg; rapid: 25 mg/kg <=1,500 mg) alongside a standard 900 mg flat dose on an alternate occasion. AUC0-24 and C24 were estimated from serial blood samples; a two-compartment Michaelis-Menten population PK model characterized NAT2 effects on clearance. Results: Among 228 participants, 47.4% (108/228) were intermediate, 43.4% (99/228) slow, and 9.2% (21/228) rapid acetylators. Genotype-guided dosing reduced AUC0-24 variability approximately two-fold versus standard dosing (CV 58.8% vs 76.8%) and increased exposure uniformity (median AUC0-24 27.2 [IQR 18.8-41.3] vs 43.2 [27.3-71.0] mg h/L). Among slow acetylators, C24 >0.15 ug/mL decreased from 27/42 (64%) with standard dosing to 1/42 (2%) with genotype-guided dosing (P<0.0001). In 104 participants with intensive PK sampling, rapid acetylators receiving guided doses had AUC0-24 similar to standard-dose intermediate acetylators (42.8 vs 39.5 mg h/L; P=.63). Monte Carlo simulations supported doses of 600, 900, and 1,200 mg for slow, intermediate, and rapid acetylators, respectively. Conclusions: NAT2-guided isoniazid dosing reduced variation in drug levels, averting very low and high AUC and C24. These findings inform genotype-stratified dosing of INH for TPT, which might reduce toxicities and improve outcomes.
Ndiaye, A.; Thiebaut, A. C. M.; Borel, P.; Sabran, C.; Elis, S.; Guerif, F.; Maillard, V.
Show abstract
The distribution of fat-soluble compounds (including antioxidants) in follicular fluid (FF) remains sparsely documented in relation to in vitro fertilization (IVF) outcomes and existing studies have reported diverging associations. This study aimed to describe plasma and FF concentrations of fat-soluble micronutrients in women undergoing IVF and to analyze their adjusted associations with ovarian function, embryo development and pregnancy outcomes. In 2021-2022, plasma and FF samples were collected from 82 women (first IVF cycle) at oocyte puncture, along with lifestyle data covering the three preceding months. Eleven compounds (two tocopherols, three xanthophylls, five carotenes and retinol) were quantified. All compounds were detected in both compartments (lowest in FF) except phytoene, undetectable in FF. Plasma and FF -tocopherol concentrations were positively associated with plasma estradiol levels before oocyte puncture (both p<0.01) while FF -carotene and lycopene were inversely associated with plasma progesterone concentrations (p=0.01 and 0.02, respectively). Plasma phytofluene and phytoene were positively associated with mature oocyte rate (p=0.03 and p=0.01, respectively), while FF retinol was negatively associated (p=0.03). Carotenes, tocopherols and retinol were inversely associated with later IVF outcomes: fertilization rate (p<0.001 for plasma g-tocopherol, 0.02 for FF retinol), top-quality embryo (p=0.02 for plasma phytofluene), biochemical pregnancy at day 7 post-embryo transfer (p=0.05 for plasma -tocopherol, 0.02 for plasma -carotene), clinical pregnancy (p=0.03 for plasma -tocopherol, 0.01 for plasma phytoene) and live birth (p=0.04 for plasma -tocopherol, 0.02 for plasma phytoene). Plasma and FF g-tocopherol were positively associated with embryo fragmentation (both p<0.05). Finally, among xanthophylls, only plasma {beta}-cryptoxanthin was positively associated with plasma progesterone concentrations (p=0.02). Our findings of heterogeneous associations between tocopherols, carotenes, retinol and IVF outcomes across the stages of IVF suggest a beneficial effect limited to early outcomes and support a complex and context-dependent role of these compounds in female reproduction. This manuscript has been submitted to PlosOne on August 19, 2026.
Liu, H.; Mizani, M. A.; Zhao, Y.; Wood, A.; Inouye, M.; Price, A. L.; Jiang, X.; CVD-COVID-UK/COVID-IMPACT Consortium,
Show abstract
Predicting disease risk from prior diagnoses is fundamental to clinical decision-making, particularly during health emergencies such as the COVID-19 pandemic, when individuals with long-term conditions may be disproportionately vulnerable to adverse outcomes. Despite intense interest in developing models to predict disease risk from prior diagnoses (1-3), most prediction models do not estimate effects of each prior diagnosis on disease risk conditional on other diagnoses, limiting interpretability and clinical utility. We developed the Comorbidity Risk Score (CRS), trained on 13 million individuals (age 40-69) from linked electronic health record (EHR) datasets of the entire population of England, to predict COVID-19 hospitalisation and 87 other disease outcomes. CRS was trained at close to saturated sample size and precisely estimated the effects of 212 prior diagnoses on the 88 disease outcomes, conditional on all other prior diagnoses. Correlations of CRS effect sizes across outcomes (e.g. 0.76 for myocardial infarction vs. hyperlipidaemia) matched the corresponding genetic correlations (e.g. 0.79 for myocardial infarction vs. hyperlipidaemia), confirming that comorbidity architectures capture disease aetiology. On average, CRS identified 5% of the population with 3.4-fold higher disease risk, including myocardial infarction (4.4-fold), lung cancer (6.5-fold), and COVID-19 hospitalisation (6.3-fold). Using prior diagnoses alone, CRS outperformed state-of-the-art clinical COVID-19 models (4). Furthermore, CRS (N=13 million) substantially outperformed state-of-the-art AI (1) (N=0.5 million) and linear (3) (N=0.5 million) models in predicting disease risk, suggesting that training sample size outweighs model complexity. CRS attained near-perfect transferability across self-reported ethnicities (e.g., Black vs. White: AUROC ratio = 97.3%). Finally, CRS distinguished independently predictive comorbidities from indirect associations, e.g., lipid metabolism disorder was a strong predictor of myocardial infarction risk but not ischaemic stroke, after conditioning on other prior diagnoses. In conclusion, CRS provides a comprehensive resource for understanding the impact of comorbidities on COVID-19 and other future diseases, revealing disease aetiology while enabling powerful prediction of disease risk.
Shi, Z.; Budhkar, A.; Amin, W.; Pollok, K. E.; Su, J.; Huang, K.
Show abstract
Improvements in data availability, sharing, and integration, together with the development of explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) techniques, are advancing precision medicine for pediatric cancer by facilitating diagnosis, biomarker discovery, and drug development. Data sharing commons and initiatives like the Childhood Cancer Data Initiative (CCDI) provide access to pediatric-specific genomic and clinical data cohorts and improve data availability for pediatric cancer research. Based on CCDI, a scalable AI platform, Graph Artificial Intelligence for Pediatric Oncology (GAIPO), integrates various data modalities from bulk and single-cell omics data to clinical information. Such multi-modal data facilitates the training and development of advanced XAI models for pediatric cancers. We then developed an end-to-end multi-modality framework, PCGS, for pediatric cancer by incorporating omics-specific representation learning via GNN models with cross-attention fusion and multi-objective learning for downstream tasks such as classification, clustering, and survival analysis. This framework outperforms previous supervised multi-omics integration baseline approaches based on glioma and Wilms tumor cohorts and enables GNN model explainability via Shapley value-based feature attribution approaches to explain the contributions of gene-level features across various biomedical tasks, including classification and survival. Given specific background samples (e.g., age groups, sex, grades) as baselines, this explainable GNN model estimates and ranks the importance scores for input features from each omics modality. It identifies background-specific key features for biomarker discovery, risk group identification, and survival analysis in glioma and Wilms tumor, with potential applicability to other pediatric cancers.